Guest wrote:Picador wrote:Old American Rightie who is going to die soon anyway begins to panic.
And pzivh43 is a real loser. Hey! Stupid! Check something other than Fox (aka Faux) News. The mortality rate is about 7 times that of your bog standard flu (that we know of now).
Sure about that?
I'd be quite happy to be certain we don't have a clue about Covid-19. Could be higher, could be lower. The problem at this stage is how many cases you have really had (could be a lot more, many of whom just got better without bothering any authorities at this stage Could be a lot less - misdiagnosed cases of other flu/cold type illnesses, before everyone was testing for the thing). Deaths - likewise - may be loads attributed to pre-existing conditions that had at least a contributory Covid-19 element, or vice versa).
Optimist or pessimist?
As no-one has the ability or the balls to shut down international travel, it will spread.
As for 'flu some varieties are about the same as current guesses about Covid-19, while'seasonal' flu is rated much less dangerous - but how do we count seasonal flu deaths? I'd he happy to put good money on a lot (most?) flu deaths being recorded as the underlying conditions that finished people off - heart disease, diabetes etc and distorting the figures. Maybe not a lot but who knows? One of Rumsfeld's unknown unknowns?